Important News

U.S. Hosts 2026 Critical Minerals Ministerial; Launches FORGE and Announces Financing, MOUs, and International Action Plans

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Key takeaways

  • The United States hosted the 2026 Critical Minerals Ministerial on February 4 with representatives from 54 countries and the European Commission.
  • The U.S. announced the Forum on Resource Geostrategic Engagement (FORGE) as the successor to the Minerals Security Partnership, to be chaired by the Republic of Korea through June.
  • The United States signed 11 new bilateral critical minerals frameworks or MOUs (including Argentina, the Cook Islands, Ecuador, Guinea, Morocco, Paraguay, Peru, the Philippines, the UAE, and Uzbekistan) and completed or negotiated additional agreements with many other countries.
  • U.S. agencies and partners have supported more than $30 billion in letters of interest, investments, loans, and other support for critical minerals projects in the past six months.
  • Export-Import Bank (EXIM) approved a Direct Loan of up to $10 billion for 'Project Vault' to establish a U.S. Strategic Critical Minerals Reserve; EXIM has issued about $14.8 billion in Letters of Interest for critical minerals projects over the past year.
  • Department of Energy Loan Programs Office has provided or committed major loans and conditional commitments (e.g., $2.3B for Thacker Pass, $996M for Rhyolite Ridge, $475M for Glencore Battery Recycling, and multiple conditional commitments totaling over $3B).
  • The U.S. International Development Finance Corporation and private-led consortia (e.g., Orion Critical Minerals Consortium, Pax Silica) are mobilizing additional capital and partnerships, including an LOI and a Glencore-Consortium MOU related to assets in the DRC.
  • USTR announced an Action Plan on Critical Minerals with Mexico and said the U.S., European Commission, and Japan intend to develop coordinated Action Plans to strengthen supply-chain resilience.

Follow Up Questions

What is FORGE and how does it differ from the Minerals Security Partnership (MSP)?Expand

FORGE (Forum on Resource Geostrategic Engagement) is the U.S.-led successor to the Minerals Security Partnership (MSP). FORGE is framed as a broader, action-oriented platform to coordinate partners at both policy and project levels (and explicitly to work closely with private-sector initiatives such as Pax Silica). By contrast, the MSP was a multilateral forum focused on coordinating responsible investment and policy to diversify critical‑minerals supply chains; FORGE builds on MSP but emphasizes more direct project-level collaboration and a governance role for a wider set of trade and resilience tools announced at the ministerial.

What is Pax Silica and what role will it play in critical mineral investments and supply chains?Expand

Pax Silica is a U.S.-led multilateral initiative launched in December 2025 to secure ‘‘silicon’’/AI-era supply chains — spanning critical minerals, semiconductors, compute, and related infrastructure. Its role is to align trusted countries and private firms to mobilize investment, coordinate incentives and standards, and help finance/co‑develop projects across mining, refining/processing, manufacturing, and recycling to reduce reliance on single-source suppliers. In the ministerial, U.S. officials said Pax Silica will help lead private‑sector investment efforts in mining, refining, end‑use and recycling.

What is Project Vault and how will EXIM’s reported $10 billion Direct Loan be used to establish a strategic reserve?Expand

Project Vault is EXIM’s initiative to create a U.S. Strategic Critical Minerals Reserve. EXIM’s Board approved a Direct Loan of up to $10 billion to seed that reserve; the financing is intended to support purchase, stockpiling, and related domestic production/processing capacity so U.S. manufacturers have a buffer against supply shocks and to incent domestic and allied upstream investments.

What legal or practical effects do the bilateral critical minerals frameworks and MOUs create for participating countries and companies?Expand

Bilateral critical‑minerals frameworks and MOUs are political and commercial commitments that create pathways for cooperation (information sharing, permitting assistance, technical cooperation, offtake and financing facilitation) but are typically not full‑scale treaties. Practically they: (1) signal government support and can unlock government financing/letters of interest, (2) set processes for regulatory, trade or offtake coordination, and (3) lower transaction risk for private investors — without automatically creating binding trade or ownership rights unless converted into treaties or contracts.

What is the Orion Critical Minerals Consortium, and what would the Glencore MOU with it enable in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC)?Expand

The Orion Critical Minerals Consortium is a private‑led investment consortium (backed by DFC and other partners) that pools capital for upstream and processing projects worldwide. The Glencore MOU signed at the ministerial links Glencore and Orion on a potential acquisition of DRC assets; that MOU would facilitate U.S.‑aligned investment into Congolese copper/cobalt assets, encourage offtake and financing arrangements, and is framed as supporting the U.S.-DRC Strategic Partnership to secure reliable flows of copper and cobalt to the United States.

How do EXIM, the Department of Energy Loan Programs Office, and the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation differ in the types of financing and conditions they provide?Expand

EXIM provides export‑credit style financing (large direct loans, guarantees, and letters of interest to underwrite transactions and stockpiles like Project Vault); the DOE Loan Programs Office issues project loans and conditional commitments for U.S. domestic energy/minerals projects (term loans, conditional commitments tied to technical/financial milestones); and the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) offers development‑finance equity, loans, guarantees, and programmatic investments abroad to mobilize private capital in emerging markets. Each has different legal mandates, risk appetites, and conditionality: EXIM focuses on export/strategic industrial policy support, DOE on U.S. domestic energy/industrial projects with programmatic criteria, and DFC on politically‑sensitive overseas investments with development and commercial return conditions.

What are the USTR Action Plans with Mexico, and how would similar plans with the EU and Japan be expected to coordinate trade policy or reduce supply-chain vulnerabilities?Expand

The USTR‑Mexico Action Plan is a bilateral trade policy roadmap (announced at the ministerial) to coordinate trade rules and mechanisms to mitigate critical‑minerals supply‑chain vulnerabilities; it sets a 60‑day work plan to develop coordinated measures (e.g., trade policy, standards, possible price‑support mechanisms). Similar trilateral/ plurilateral Action Plans with the EU and Japan are intended to align tariffs, standards, offtake/subsidy tools and other trade measures to reduce vulnerability and coordinate responses (e.g., exploring price floors, standards‑based markets or subsidy coordination) — but details and binding forms remain to be negotiated.

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