Evidence is incomplete or still developing; a future update may resolve it. Learn more in Methodology.
Operational records/statistics from the Coast Guard confirm a 120% increase in interdictions, deterrence events, and transportation of illegal aliens over the stated period.
Available evidence confirms that the quoted line appears in official DHS communications, but there is no accessible primary data to verify the underlying 120% increase claim.
The January 15, 2026 DHS press release about Admiral Kevin Lunday states: "Since January 2025, Coast Guard seizures of illegal narcotics are up 200%. Interdictions, deterrence events, and transportation of illegal aliens are up 120%." and attributes these results to the Coast Guard under Force Design 2028.
However, DHS’s Office of Homeland Security Statistics currently publishes Coast Guard Maritime Response Activities data only through fiscal year 2023, and does not yet include migrant interdiction statistics for 2024–2025 needed to compute or confirm a 120% increase. The Coast Guard’s "Force Design 2028 Initial Update" report, which might contain supporting figures, is hosted on a DoD site that returns a 403 Forbidden error and is not accessible via this environment, preventing verification of any internal calculations.
Because no independently accessible dataset or detailed methodology is available to substantiate the magnitude of the claimed 120% increase in interdictions, deterrence events, and transportation of migrants since January 2025, the numerical accuracy of the statement cannot currently be confirmed or refuted.
The verdict is Unclear because the claim is a precise quantitative assertion made by DHS, but the necessary underlying Coast Guard migrant-interdiction data for 2024–2025 and the referenced Force Design 2028 update are not fully accessible, so the 120% figure cannot be independently verified.