Tariffs have had no negative effect on vehicle prices.

Misleading

Facts are technically correct but framed in a way that likely leads to a wrong impression. Learn more in Methodology.

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Available price analyses and retail transaction price data show no measurable price increase attributable to tariffs over the relevant period.

Source summary
The White House reports that U.S. new-vehicle sales rose 2.4% in 2025 — the strongest industry performance since 2019 — and says automakers from Ford to Hyundai posted notably strong results. The administration credits this outcome to President Trump’s trade agenda, tax changes (including an auto loan interest deduction), major automaker investments in U.S. production, and regulatory rollbacks such as resetting fuel economy (CAFE) standards and eliminating the stop-start requirement.
Latest fact check

Evidence is mixed. Reuters cites J.D. Power saying tariffs “did not substantially affect vehicle prices” and reported the average new-vehicle retail transaction price in December 2025 was about $47,104 (up modestly year‑over‑year), which supports the idea that broad, immediate price effects were limited. However, published economic modeling (e.g., Yale’s Budget Lab) projects large price increases from a 25% automobile tariff (roughly a 13.5% rise in vehicle prices in their model), and BLS/Kelley Blue Book data show new-vehicle prices rose to near-record levels in 2025 and automakers warned of tariff-related cost pass-throughs. Verdict: Misleading — short-term data from some sources show little broad price pass-through so far, but credible models and industry warnings indicate tariffs are likely to raise vehicle prices for many models and over time, so the categorical claim that tariffs have had “no negative effect” overstates the evidence.

Timeline

  1. Update · Jan 07, 2026, 04:54 AMMisleading
    Evidence is mixed. Reuters cites J.D. Power saying tariffs “did not substantially affect vehicle prices” and reported the average new-vehicle retail transaction price in December 2025 was about $47,104 (up modestly year‑over‑year), which supports the idea that broad, immediate price effects were limited. However, published economic modeling (e.g., Yale’s Budget Lab) projects large price increases from a 25% automobile tariff (roughly a 13.5% rise in vehicle prices in their model), and BLS/Kelley Blue Book data show new-vehicle prices rose to near-record levels in 2025 and automakers warned of tariff-related cost pass-throughs. Verdict: Misleading — short-term data from some sources show little broad price pass-through so far, but credible models and industry warnings indicate tariffs are likely to raise vehicle prices for many models and over time, so the categorical claim that tariffs have had “no negative effect” overstates the evidence.
  2. Original article · Jan 06, 2026

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